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Money & Finance

Quantitative Easing: were markets surprised?

Post, January 24, 2015
By Stéphane Lhuissier

The ECB has announced that it will launch in March its first round of quantitative easing. The announcement contains some good and bad surprises: the size of the ECB's plan is gigantic, while the Central Bank was unclear about the Greek issue. How was this announcement perceived by markets?

ECB equity purchases: too risky, really?

Post, January 9, 2015
By Urszula Szczerbowicz, Natacha Valla

Instead of buying sovereign debt, the ECB could broaden further its purchases to include equity of all sorts. Fuelling an equity bubble is no worse than fuelling a bond one. It can be mitigated by intervening secretly and including non listed securities. Inhibitions to take risk should be lifted.

Is China finally inhaling the smoke of international financial markets?

Post, December 16, 2014
By Christophe Destais

The recycling of current account and/or financial account surpluses through the accumulation of foreign exchange reserves by emerging countries after the 1999-2001 crisis, particularly by China, has been described as “smoking but not inhaling in international financial markets”.

Purchases of sovereign bonds: the ECB confronted with the heterogeneity of the Euro area

Post, December 4, 2014
By Urszula Szczerbowicz

The ECB has confirmed its determination to counter the risk of deflation in the eurozone by evoking the possibility of sovereign bond purchases, but is confronted once again with the heterogeneity of the area. The need for compromise could jeopardize the effectiveness of its action.

The delusion of State guarantees

Post, October 3, 2014
By Natacha Valla

European policymakers are currently busy addressing two issues: moribund investment and banks on extended sick leave. Some observers might be tempted to segregate these issues. While investment would be in the remit of States, the financial health of our economies would be under the responsibility of the ECB alone.

Reforming the European Investment Bank: a New Architecture for Public Investment in Europe

Post, July 30, 2014
By Natacha Valla

Some five years after the severe recession of 2009, private sector investment in Europe is still dangerously sluggish. And public investment has been cut further, reinforcing a long term downward trend. At a mere 2% of GDP, it has halved over thirty years.

The euro area urgently needs a Federal Investment Fund (not a budget)

Post, April 9, 2014
By Natacha Valla

The decline in investment rates in the euro area following the global financial crisis has been sharp. And it looks as though it will not reverse significantly. Rebooting investment and channeling investable funds to the right places on the continent is therefore a major challenge for policy makers.

Euro area: deflation is the wrong debate

Post, March 6, 2014
By Natacha Valla

For a fact, measures of headline consumer price inflation have decelerated sharply over the recent past. At 0.8-1%; inflation hovers around levels that are clearly below the ECB’s flagship 2% medium-term objective.

Swapmania

Post, December 9, 2013
By Christophe Destais

Currency swaps between central banks are quickly emerging as a key feature of the international monetary system.

Negative interest rate on bank deposits at the central bank: an option for the ECB?

Post, November 27, 2013
By Urszula Szczerbowicz

For a long time considered as impossible to implement, the negative interest rates on deposits of commercial banks at the central bank is now often mentioned as an option for the European Central Bank (ECB).

Is the Eurozone really a monetary union? (2/2)

Post, July 3, 2013
By Christophe Destais

In the United States, the regional Federal Reserve Banks (FRBs) are de facto subsidiaries of the central Federal Reserve Board. The claims and the debts between FRBs are settled through a transfer of assets which is actually a simple accounting arrangement.

Is the Eurozone really a monetary union? (1/2)

Post, July 1, 2013
By Christophe Destais

Central banks in the Eurozone have accumulated claims and debts between themselves. These "Target 2 imbalances" substituted for the outstanding between private entities, in particular for the interbank loans and there is no mechanism to settle them. Should the Eurozone burst, they would become due.

The banking union needs a guarantor of last resort

Post, June 17, 2013
By Christophe Destais

Governments act as guarantors of last resort of the financial system, as evidenced during the crises of the past 6 years. It will remain true in the future, even if a better regulation and the bailing in financial institutions by their creditors allow to better circumventing the risks born by the taxpayers.

Round-tripping of Russian foreign investment via Cyprus

Post, March 18, 2013
By Olena Havrylchyk, Svetlana Ledyaeva

The design of the recent bailout package for Cyprus preserves the offshore banking status that is used by Russian depositors and round-trip investors. Is it worth it?

IMF Quota Formula Review: still a long way to go

Post, February 20, 2013
By Christophe Destais

On January 30, 2013, the IMF Executive Board issued a short report on the outcome of its discussion regarding the quota formula review. Judging from the extent of remaining disagreement, the objective of completing the review by 2013 is not met and there is still a long way to go.

Monetary policy in exceptional times

Post, January 31, 2013
By Urszula Szczerbowicz

The last 5 years have been a major challenge for the theory and practice of monetary policy. The key channel of conventional monetary policy has been severely impaired and the target policy rates in some countries have approached zero.

The interbank market one year after Mario Draghi presidency at the ECB

Post, November 19, 2012
By Urszula Szczerbowicz

Restoring the smooth functioning of the interbank markets was a key objective for Mario Draghi when he became president of the ECB. One year and two LTROs later, the ECB reached its target.

Financial development in India and firms’ growth

Facts & Figures, September 21, 2012
By Maria Bas, Antoine Berthou

The banking reforms that took place in India in the mid 90s have improved the availability of credit. However, the effects of financial development on firms’ growth appear to be unequal depending on their characteristics. Where are the gains from credit expansion concentrated?

Single bells: single market, single currency, single supervisor, single resolution mechanism

Post, September 14, 2012
By Olena Havrylchyk

On 12 of September, the European Commission (EC) has unveiled its proposal that shifts banking supervision to the European level, giving sweeping supervisory powers to the ECB.

The case for the ECB sovereign bonds purchases

Post, July 10, 2012
By Urszula Szczerbowicz

On Thursday July 5th the ECB decided to cut its main refinancing rate to 0.75%, for the first time crossing the historical low of 1%. More importantly, it reduced the overnight deposit facility rate to 0%. In doing so, the ECB encouraged banks to transform the liquidity received via two 3-year LTROs into credit to companies and households, instead of keeping it at the ECB deposit facility.

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