Points clés :
Résumé :
Mots-clés : Voting | Trade | Immigration | Political Economy
JEL : D72, F6
- We investigate the local effects of trade exposure and immigration on voting behavior in France from 1988 to 2022.
- We use the content of each candidate’s manifesto to construct an anti-globalization voting index for each French presidential election.
- We show that increasing local exposure to import competition and immigration increases anti-globalization votes, while increasing export exposure reduces them.
- While exposure to imports of final goods increases anti-globalization voting, exposure to imports of intermediate goods reduces it.
Résumé :
We investigate the local effects of trade exposure and immigration on voting behavior in France from 1988 to 2022. We use the content of each candidate's manifesto to construct an anti-globalization voting index for each French presidential election. This index shows a significant increase in the anti-globalization positions of candidates, and a growing anti-globalization vote beyond the far right. We show that increasing local exposure to import competition and immigration increases anti-globalization votes, while increasing export exposure reduces them. We also find that imports have different effects depending on the products imported. While exposure to imports of final goods increases anti-globalization voting, exposure to imports of intermediate goods reduces it.
Mots-clés : Voting | Trade | Immigration | Political Economy
JEL : D72, F6
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