CEPII, Recherche et Expertise sur l'economie mondiale
Looking Ahead to 2050: Where are the Current Dynamics Steering the Global Economy?
Lionel Fontagné, Erica Perego and Gianluca Santoni

Pandemics, global warming, food security, ageing, depletion of certain raw materials... our economies are faced with global problems, calling for long term actions and raising intergenerational issues. To guide economic policies, it is therefore essential to have a sound framework for reflection. The MaGE (Macroeconometrics of the Global Economy) model, developed by CEPII, makes it possible to draw the fundamental trends of the world economy in the long term, up to 2050. On the backdrop of the continued pace of economic and demographic growth and technological progress, energy consumption is expected to double by 2050, despite efforts to improve energy efficiency. Ambitious policies to decarbonize our economies will be necessary to make these prospects for economic growth sustainable.
Trade & Globalization
Competitiveness & Growth
Emerging Countries
Environment & Natural Resources
Money & Finance
Economic Policy

The Future of Money - How the Digital Revolution Is Transforming Currencies and Finance
January 20, 2022  

21st Doctoral Meetings in International Trade and International Finance - Call for paper
April 28 - 29, 2022

Research webinar "The Global Financial Resource Curse"
January 13, 2022

Immigration in OECD Countries - 11th Annual International Conference
December 13 - 14, 2021

Après Glasgow : quelles conséquences macroéconomiques de la transition écologique ?
December 14, 2021

"China and the International Financial System". Conference co-organised by the Banque de France, European Central Bank and CEPII
December 13, 2021

"Corporate Subsidies by China, the European Union and the United States". Webinar with Simon J. Evenett, Professor of International Trade and Economic Development, University of St. Gallen
December 9, 2021

"Global Giants and Local Starts: How Changes in Brand Ownership affect Competition". Research webinar by Vanessa Alviarez, Research Department of the Inter-Amirica Development Bank (IADB)
December 9, 2021

"Difficultés d’approvisionnement des entreprises: quelles conséquences ?" Séminaire compétitivité CEPII-Banque de France sur les politiques industrielles en France
December 7, 2021

Le CEPII partenaire scientifique des Journées de l'économie (JÉCO) 2021
November 3 - 5, 2021

Sébastien Jean aux JÉCO 2021: table ronde "Rebâtir la souveraineté technologique"
November 4, 2021

Real Exchange Rates and the Earnings of Immigrants. Online research seminar
November 4, 2021

  Just Released
CEPII Policy Brief
CEPII Working Paper
International Economics
International Economics
N°168 - Q4 2021
La lettre du CEPII
Panorama du CEPII

Properly capturing tariff rate quotas for trade policy analysis in computable general equilibrium models
Economic Modelling
Yaghoob Jafari, Wolfgang Britz, Houssein Guimbard, Jayson Beckman

Shipping the good agricultural products out: the differentiated impact of per-unit duties on developing countries
European Review of Agricultural Economics
Charlotte EmlingerHoussein Guimbard

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      Deadline for application : January 31, 2022