CEPII, Recherche et Expertise sur l'economie mondiale
Anti-globalisation Vote: Imports Help, Exports Hinder

Antoine Bouët
Anthony Edo
Charlotte Emlinger

Is trade globalisation changing the voting behaviour of French citizens through its impact on the labour market? Since 1981, there has been a significant increase in the proportion of votes cast against globalization in France. Part of this increase is due to the increased competition induced by the rise in imports of goods. However, this result is only driven by imports of final goods and not by imports of intermediate goods. Indeed, the greater exposure of national employment to these imports, which complement certain economic activities, has led to a decrease in the share of votes against globalisation. Similarly, exports have mitigated the rise in anti-globalisation votes through their beneficial effects on the economic activity of the regions concerned.

 Data :   let445_EN.xlsx

 Keywords : Anti-globalisation votes | International Trade | Immigration

 JEL : D72, F6

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La Lettre du CEPII
N° 445   March 2024

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